Multi-Channel Forecasting
D2C & Amazon
Purchasing & Landed Cost

How Loka plans a global chai brand across Shopify, Amazon and multiple 3PLs with one connected system

The brand behind the award-winning Loka Chai Maker replaced its spreadsheets with Lumina - connecting Shopify, Amazon and its 3PLs to forecast every channel, raise supplier POs, move stock to where it's needed and track landed cost by market.

Industry

Consumer Goods

Kitchenware & chai blends

Channel

D2C & Amazon

Shopify, Amazon US / UK / CA, subscriptions

Use Cases

End-to-end

Demand, purchasing, BOM, transfers, landed cost, reporting

Previous Solutions

Spreadsheets

Google Sheets forecast model, Xero

Background

Loka is reinventing how the world makes chai at home. Its Chai Maker - designed with Pentagram and winner of a 2025 Good Design Award - brews authentic masala chai on the hob with none of the boil-overs, alongside Loka's own masala chai blends. What started as a Kickstarter launch is now a fast-growing, multi-channel brand: Shopify across the UK, US and rest of world, a loyal subscription base, and Amazon in the US, with the UK and Canada added in 2026 alone and new blends on the way.

Behind the scenes, the supply chain is as involved as the product. Each Chai Maker is assembled from parts made by several suppliers, with long lead times. Stock travels by sea or air into warehouses in the UK and US, then on into Amazon. Subscriptions run alongside one-off orders, Amazon bundles draw down individual SKUs, and the chai blends are planned around tea and spice harvests in India, so production is committed long before the demand shows up.

Almost all of this lived in a set of complex spreadsheets maintained by Kevin Davies-Hunt, Loka's COO. Forecasting, purchase orders, shipments and deciding where to send stock were all done by hand. With stock-outs the biggest risk on a 90-day lead time, Loka needed a system that planned the way Kevin already did - but ran on live data.

"
We were fiddling around in Excel and breaking the model, and then it took half a day to work out what we did.
KD
Kevin Davies-Hunt
COO, Loka

Solution

Loka chose Lumina to replace its spreadsheets with one connected system - shaped around how Kevin already plans, and fed live by Shopify and Amazon.

Rather than a black-box statistical model, Lumina's forecast mirrors how Loka already plans: growth and seasonality by product and channel, with every number open to override. Amazon and D2C are forecast separately, so Kevin can drop in his Amazon agency's numbers without throwing off the rest of the plan.

“Using the Lumina MCP, I got a volume forecast for the next 12 months, broken down by SKU for US only... and it created this amazing Excel file which I can now pass onto Stord.” - Kevin Davies-Hunt

When Loka switched US 3PLs, Lumina had a direct integration with Stord live in time for the cutover - so planning never skipped a beat.

Key Features

Channel-level forecasting for Amazon and D2C, regular and subscription, each overridable and aggregated to one total
Per-SKU seasonality curves per product, plus launch forecasts for new blends with no sales history
Live connectors to Shopify, Amazon US / UK / Canada including Subscribe & Save, and a direct Stord integration
Automated purchase orders for every part, showing which product it goes into, when to order it and what it costs
Sea & air shipment planning - sea by default, with air shipments split off to plug near-term gaps and delivery dates calculated
Stock transfer recommendations balancing weeks of cover across UK and US warehouses and Amazon FBA
Landed cost by market with freight and charges per shipment, blended on each PO, for margin by market
Forecast accuracy tracking with forecasts frozen 12 weeks ahead and compared with actuals, week by week and location by location
AI assistant via the Lumina MCP for reports on the fly in Claude, from 3PL volume forecasts to monthly COGS for the accountants

Because Lumina is built on a flexible platform, the system keeps evolving with Loka.

Impact

1 day
saved every week
no more Mondays spent updating the forecast model, tracking accuracy and copying in Amazon numbers
One
connected system
replacing spreadsheets across Shopify, three Amazon marketplaces and multiple 3PLs
2 weeks
to a live Stord integration
in time for the US cutover
1 prompt
for a 12-month SKU forecast
volume plan for the 3PL generated through the Lumina MCP
Clear
landed cost by market
freight and charges tracked per shipment and blended per PO
20+
stock movements a month
inbound shipments and transfers planned in one system ahead of the November peak

Kevin used to spend half to a full day every Monday updating the forecast model, tracking forecast accuracy and copying and pasting numbers from Amazon. Now he doesn't do any of that. Since going live, Loka plans from one connected system instead of spreadsheets updated by hand. Sales and stock from Shopify, Amazon and the 3PLs flow in automatically, so Kevin starts from the current position rather than rebuilding it. Purchase orders are created automatically, transfers are recommended against real weeks of cover, and every shipment carries its own freight and landed cost.

The effect reaches beyond the planning team. Loka's accountants now log into Lumina and use its AI reports for month-end costing, and Kevin builds reports in Claude that combine Lumina data with Shopify and customer-service data.

"
I'm using Lumina really heavily now. I really appreciate you being so responsive and making those changes so quickly - it's great.
KD
Kevin Davies-Hunt
COO, Loka

The approach reflects how Lumina works with growing brands: start from how the team already plans, connect the data, and keep building as the business adds products, channels and markets.

Ready to move away from spreadsheet chaos?

Discover how Lumina's AI-powered planning can help you forecast every channel, automate purchasing and track landed cost by market.